Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000280 0.000314 0.000350 0.000392 0.000439 0.000491 0.000553
2025-01-12 0.000213 0.000259 0.000313 0.000382 0.000468 0.000572 0.000710
2025-01-19 0.000169 0.000217 0.000279 0.000363 0.000475 0.000623 0.000832
2025-01-26 0.000147 0.000198 0.000267 0.000367 0.000508 0.000705 0.001004
2025-02-02 0.000135 0.000190 0.000267 0.000384 0.000559 0.000817 0.001233
2025-02-09 0.000120 0.000174 0.000254 0.000380 0.000577 0.000881 0.001400
2025-02-16 0.000109 0.000164 0.000247 0.000383 0.000606 0.000965 0.001608
2025-02-23 0.000099 0.000153 0.000237 0.000379 0.000622 0.001030 0.001793
2025-03-02 0.000091 0.000145 0.000231 0.000382 0.000647 0.001112 0.002021
2025-03-09 0.000084 0.000137 0.000224 0.000380 0.000666 0.001185 0.002242
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000125 0.000208 0.000363 0.000654 0.001198 0.002350
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000119 0.000204 0.000364 0.000675 0.001276 0.002600
2025-03-30 0.000068 0.000118 0.000206 0.000379 0.000725 0.001423 0.003027
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000110 0.000196 0.000371 0.000730 0.001479 0.003271
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000100 0.000183 0.000353 0.000713 0.001486 0.003403
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000097 0.000180 0.000356 0.000742 0.001597 0.003806
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000096 0.000183 0.000373 0.000801 0.001785 0.004440
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000091 0.000177 0.000369 0.000812 0.001865 0.004810
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000088 0.000175 0.000372 0.000842 0.001992 0.005336
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000084 0.000170 0.000369 0.000854 0.002078 0.005765
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000082 0.000167 0.000371 0.000881 0.002206 0.006344
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000078 0.000163 0.000370 0.000899 0.002313 0.006890
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000073 0.000154 0.000353 0.000875 0.002301 0.007049